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2024 MLB Playoff Race
162 games, 30 teams - comprehensive playoff predictions and standings analysis, updated daily.
More MLB: Team Elo ratings | Playoff scenarios | Wild card tracker
| elo rating | 1-week change | team | division | make playoffs | win division | 1st-round bye | win super bowl | Week 13 matchup | Week 14 matchup | Week 15 matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1731 |
New England
NE
9-2
|
AFC East | >99% | 98% | 91% | 27% | @BUF | @MIA | @PIT | |
| 1671 |
Philadelphia
PHI
10-1
|
NFC East | >99% | >99% | 87% | 17% | @SEA | @LAR | @NYG | |
| 1651 |
Pittsburgh
PIT
9-2
|
AFC North | >99% | 96% | 87% | 14% | @CIN | BAL | NE | |
| 1639 |
Atlanta
ATL
7-4
|
NFC South | 66% | 20% | 10% | 5% | MIN | NO | @TB | |
| 1629 |
Minnesota
MIN
9-2
|
NFC North | 98% | 96% | 61% | 12% | @ATL | @CAR | CIN |
How this works: Our threefourtyfour Football predictions are based on 100,000 simulations of the season and update after every game. We use advanced Elo ratings (measuring team strength through head-to-head results and opponent quality) to calculate each team's chances across 4 downs and all 18 regular season games, plus playoff probabilities. Full methodology ยป